Captain K's Corner

Captain K's Corner

Captain K's Super Tuesday Field Guide and Predictions

Topic: Elections

Capt. Seth Keshel's avatar
Capt. Seth Keshel
Mar 05, 2024
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Yesterday, I detailed how Nikki Haley’s win in Washington, D.C.’s Republican primary amounts to a Pyrrhic victory – one that comes at such great cost that it equals long-term defeat.  Yes, the “Queen of the Swamp” has a winning streak of one; however, any expectation of that streak to spark a dramatic U-turn is one founded in a belief in black magic.

These states will be holding Republican nominating contests today:

Alabama 50 delegates

Arkansas 40 delegates

Alaska 29 delegates (caucus)

California 169 delegates

Colorado 37 delegates

Maine 20 delegates

Massachusetts 40 delegates

Minnesota 39 delegates

North Carolina 74 delegates

Oklahoma 43 delegates

Tennessee 58 delegates

Texas 161 delegates

Utah 40 delegates (caucus)

Vermont 17 delegates

Virginia 48 delegates

865 delegates are at stake.  Even if Trump were able to take 100% of them, he wouldn’t be able to formally clinch the nomination tomorrow; however, it is a certainty that he will mortally wound the Haley campaign by nightfall. Here is how I see things shaking out, with delegate apportionment rules found here:

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