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Captain K's Viewing Guide to Republican Debate Night 2.0

Captain K's Viewing Guide to Republican Debate Night 2.0

Topic: Predictions

Capt. Seth Keshel's avatar
Capt. Seth Keshel
Sep 27, 2023
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Captain K's Corner
Captain K's Corner
Captain K's Viewing Guide to Republican Debate Night 2.0
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I’ve said it before, right here in this journal, and I’ll say it again: sometimes, you just get it wrong.  While I’m right more often than I’m wrong, I predicted in February that Ron DeSantis would keep his powder dry and not run for President, and if rumblings are true and Kari Lake throws her hat in the U.S. Senate ring, I’ll whiff on my prediction that she has the inside track on the V.P. nomination.

Honesty and transparency define the prognosticator.  That’s why, with fault admitted, I have no hesitation in reminding you that I called the plays for the August 23 Republican debate, with adjacent Carlson-Trump interview, right on the money.  In that piece, I elaborated that President Trump’s decision to skip the Milwaukee debate was the correct move, and that he would draw all the attention to himself and adequately portray the serious lack of star power present on the debate stage, which was looking like it was going to be a “pillow fight” with pre-scripted plays, snide remarks about the only living Republican president people care about, and pledged lives and money for every country on earth except the United States.

I also ran the gauntlet on my “outcomes” portion of that article, perhaps most impressively predicting that Asa Hutchinson would be likeliest to drop out.  While he hasn’t officially buried his campaign, he did not meet the extremely low bar to appear in this evening’s debate.  North Dakota Governor Doug Burgum, who I picked as a dark horse to surprise, wasn’t offered a lot of mic time, but still has the smartest consultants of those in the debate field.

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Enough gloating, here are three key points you should watch for on Debate Night 2.0:

I.               Strategy in Simi Valley, California

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