16 Comments
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Valerie Fiannaca's avatar

Be prepared for incoming, as you are totally over target😂

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Thomas from Iowa's avatar

Excellent reporting Captain, we won’t read about this in the Daily News but thanks to you we will get to hear Santos’ explanation for this treachery. Keep up the good work, I am proud to subscribe to your service.

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Tom Richardson's avatar

Captain Seth Keshel, America's Election Statistician, SIR!

How about we go ahead and count the illegals?! The better to have a count on how many we have to deport. Just make sure they are NOT included in the citizen totals which are all that matters for Congressional and therefore Electoral representation.

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Wess Adams's avatar

This country can’t agree on how to count votes, let alone counting heads in their proper residence. Thanks Captain, You find a way to expound upon things of mundane understanding, bringing such to urgently needed correction.

Such should never be political, yet it is, and it has been so. Add the fact that few today, myself included, have any confidence in the census. Some simply ignore the requests by census bureau, and question its effectiveness, dismissing how the numbers might be used to help or hinder their own significance.

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jesse porter's avatar

He's not the first rat to jump ship and probably not the last, but the more rats that jump or get thrown out the more effective this first effective executive will be.

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Mark Marshall's avatar

Was the first election affected by the rigged 2020 Census the 2020 or 2022 election?

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Capt. Seth Keshel's avatar

2024 is the first election under the new counts, which actually favored the GOP from 2020 by six net, but a number that is massively depressed.

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S. Williams's avatar

Excellent article Seth. But can you help me understand the numbers you quoted?

> “Trump’s 31 states … should have been worth 320 electoral votes, not 312. … Trump had 86 more electoral votes than Harris. My numbers suggest he should have defeated her by 102, meaning we have been cheated by at least 16 electoral votes.”

If 320 – 312 = 8, then how did you reach 16? Is that because when you flip 8 votes you increase the gap by 16? 🤔 If that’s the case, then I can see what you’re trying to communicate, but if, in fact, only 8 have been stolen, it may not be fair to say we’ve been “cheated by at least 16”. Perhaps the wording could be clarified.

But overall I deeply appreciate you providing thorough numbers for people to see the effect of statistical manipulation on governance. Brilliant. 🔥

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melindy's avatar

how about a 5 year cycle starting this year !!

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TJFirst's avatar

Definitely over the target! Do continue as this needs to be out there. Lets go!

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Pamela Germeroth's avatar

Deliberate incompetence....♥️♥️♥️

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Tony Lima's avatar

That's not the way the census or apportionment. Constitution requires an exact enumeration, Census revisions use statistical methods. Second, only a handful of the PES estimates were statistically significant. I've put in quite a bit of time on this subject over the last five years. Start here https://gonzoecon.com/2024/04/expand-the-house/ then read this about PES https://gonzoecon.com/2024/11/census-pes-and-the-house-of-representatives/

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Bob Huddleston's avatar

SC est of 9 Electoral Votes is one more than the 8 we currently have. SC-6 is Jim Clyburn, D, and mostly rural central part of SC. Clyburn was the person who propelled Biden to nomination. Even one misplaced Electoral vote can have lasting National consequences.

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John Kendrix's avatar

How do we get the votes and seats we were robbed of?

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Linda S Fox's avatar

Nicely explained. This is one I’ll be sharing on my Substack.

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Linda S Fox's avatar

Nicely explained. This is one I’ll be sharing on my Substack.

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