Giving Thanks: How It Could Be Today Under Different Management

Sometimes a fresh perspective is all you need.

Yesterday’s Substack Live had a repetitive theme. A few of the attendees in there circled back to the same question, which went something like this?

Are you feeling negative/dooming about what so and so has been saying on X?

I’ve hammered on the negativity aspects of the current political climate over and over again this month, so I rattled off my opinions about why there is so much of it around these days since Charlie Kirk was shot and the shutdown games began. Today, I’m going to do something a little bit different as we kick off Thanksgiving Week.

Imagine with me, for a moment, that after Donald Trump won North Carolina and got to his “Core 235,” then the Atlanta metro slipped a few points further left, denying Trump 16 electoral votes and the shortest pathway to an electoral majority if combined with Pennsylvania. Instead of a performance lagging Clinton in Philadelphia County, a Harris performance more like Biden’s there and in the collar counties, took away Pennsylvania’s 19. You’d then be looking at a scenario in which Trump would need Arizona, Michigan and Wisconsin, and with Pennsylvania the furthest right of the “big three” in the Midwest, it is obvious Harris would emerge the victor in such a scenario.

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PRESIDENT KAMALA

With an unimpressive mental package to begin with, President Kamala would get to work with an understanding that the electorate would quickly tire of her, especially with her representing the second consecutive Democrat president. Her handlers, especially if the House and Senate remained in Republican hands, would have prepped her for bold executive action designed to do exactly one thing:

Ensure Democrat dominance of elections and key policy positions for the 21st century.

Even though Franklin Roosevelt, and later Harry Truman, were eventually replaced by Republicans, the New Deal agenda remains with us today and is something that must be worked around, no matter what ideologies are attached to any candidate. Imagine trying to get rid of Social Security today - you can’t. This is another reason why I’m not big on defending ideologies like “conservatism” and more focused on defeating the enemy and adjusting to present-day challenges.

What do I think President Kamala would have done by Thanksgiving in her first term? Let’s dive in:

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IMMIGRATION/BORDER

Ironically, Trump solving key campaign issues early has led to restlessness from his base. For the 2026 midterm campaigns, Republicans are going to have to pivot to finer policy points and dish out less red meat, because the electorate views immigration and border enforcement as under control. This was not the case 13 months ago, when everyone and their mother complained about how we couldn’t survive four more years of a wide open border.

President Kamala would have continued Biden’s reckless border policies, resulting in a mass run for the border that would destroy the border towns ravaged by illegal immigration. Instead of focusing on mass removals, we’d be doing the “humane processing” bit and negotiating with both chambers of Congress to end the “humanitarian crisis” by finally agreeing on the “immigration reform” bill that has taken many forms over the past two decades.

What we have now, instead, is the quietest border we’ve had in many decades and a public that no longer needs to hear any political speeches about the border. Take a look at traffic in Panama’s Darien Gap for a stunning visual:

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ENERGY/ENVIRONMENT

It’s continued to amaze me how many people in Pennsylvania are still willing to be on team blue when their candidates openly campaign on destroying the energy industry that is the lifeblood of the western region of the state. While the Trump administration has moved to tap the vast energy resources of the U.S., starting with Alaska on his very first day in office, rest assured Americans would be dealing with so many executive actions imposing California-style mandates on truckers, plants, and other sectors of the economy deemed dangerous for the environment.

The day-to-day costs of simply getting around would pile up and make complaints about today’s weakened inflation rates seem petty by comparison. With her actions shifting the Overton Window, America would move quickly toward the environmental police state Londoners are dealing with today as everyday Americans find it too expensive to drive.

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CULTURE WAR

With a four-year sprint available to bury the emerging right-wing culture reaching all the way down to young minority men, Harris’s handlers would fast-track gun control measures, leading to years long court battles with mixed results thanks to the compromised judiciary. Instead of Trump’s efforts to toughen up the Department of Defense under Secretary Pete Hegseth and rolling back anti-white DEI requirements anywhere they can be found, we’d have the vilification of White America on steroids and festering societal problems related to the continued poisoning of goodwill between every day people finding themselves pitted against one another.

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FEDERAL OVERREACH

Do you remember when Trump fulfilled his promise to January 6th prisoners, and pardoned all of them within the first few weeks of his administration? Talk about another promise kept without much recognition from those who dwell only on the negative. Had Harris won the 2024 election, these prisoners would have stayed locked up, with the only realistic expectation being to have the entire book thrown at them to turn them into a lasting example.

One investigation after another would have been launched by her weaponized law enforcement agencies, making the J6 witch hunts look amateurish by comparison. If you’ve been involved in any election integrity efforts, health freedom groups, or anything else standing in opposition to the global agenda, you could find yourself targeted and having your right to privacy trampled under the banner of “keeping democracy safe.”

This is still a possibility under the next Democrat administration if the proper steps are not taken to crush the spooks who promote this sort of tyranny. It is also important to remember that Democrats do everything possible to stay in power, and a Harris administration would do all it could to expand the rules and regulations that help rig elections before any ballots are cast.

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CONCLUSION

Everything becomes clearer when put in the proper perspective. While the two-party political system, entrenched corruption, and administrative state create unstable terrain and unpredictable outcomes, we are far better off 10 months into Trump 47 than we would be into a hypothetical Harris term. Polymarket doesn’t give her a great shot at the 2028 nomination, and I’d say I agree:

If you feel like complaining, get busy being part of the solution!

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Seth Keshel, MBA, is a former Army Captain of Military Intelligence and Afghanistan veteran. His analytical method of election forecasting and analytics is known worldwide, and he has been commended by President Donald J. Trump for his work in the field.