The HAVV Meltdown: What it Is, What it Isn't, and What We Must Find Out

Topic: Elections

Yesterday, all hell broke loose when Elon Musk reposted the following from @EndWokeness:

386,422 net voters registered without a photo ID in a single week (03/16/2024).

277,077 of the new voters are in Texas.

What’s the innocent explanation?

I had a conversation with Kris Jurski, founder of The People’s Audit, shortly before writing this response, and this appears to be a mixed bag with presently unknown ramifications.  First and foremost, definitions do matter, and:

These are not new voter registration records.

Those statistics, at least the official ones and not the hidden menu known only to state officials, are found here:

Arizona

Current Registrations – 4,096,260

2022 Midterms – 4,143,929

Net – (47,669) since 2022 Midterms

Pennsylvania

Current Registrations – 8,707,094

2022 Midterms – 8,873,144

Net – (166,050) since 2022 Midterms

Texas

Current Registrations – 17,948,242

2022 Midterms – 17,672,143

Net - +276,099 since 2022 Midterms

The X post in question suggested Texas had 227,077 new voter registrations in the week ending March 16, when the Secretary of State reports a number only slightly larger than that for the past 16 months, and also suggests Arizona and Pennsylvania added 26,991 and 36,105 new voter registration records in a single week when their rolls are smaller than they were during the 2022 midterms (although these are net numbers, and voters coming on and going off the rolls contributes to it).

So, what the hell is going on?

The numbers in question from the X post are HAVV (Help America Vote Verification) transactions.  The Social Security Administration (SSA) has a page outlining the requirements of HAVA (Help America Vote Act) and its HAVV complement here.

Under HAVA, states are required to verify new voter information against their own motor vehicle (driver’s license) database.  In instances in which a potential voter registers to vote without providing a state-issued driver’s license, states are instructed to send forward a corresponding HAVV verification to the SSA to see if an aspiring registrant is dead or alive.

Here is Texas’s online voter registration application.  Note the space for entering either Texas Driver’s License information or the last four of a social security number.  A quick search dating back to January 2011 shows Texas uses HAVV far more than any other state, with 23,863,406 such checks having been executed in the past 14 years, 3 months.  California, our largest state, is second at a paltry 8,919,870, and several states, such as Virginia, are exempt from HAVA/HAVV requirements.

So What Now?

Here are my conclusions and recommendations:

1)        We need more info.  I would start by calling and e-mailing the Texas Secretary of State contacts here and asking them to explain why Texas’s numbers are so disparate. We may find conflicting stories that point us in an ominous direction.  In military speak, this would be defined as an “intel gap” – we don’t know what we don’t know.

2)        New Texas voters registering without a state-issued license is a plausible scenario given the number of out-of-state transplants settling there; such applications would be subject to HAVV, but I recognize the numbers are still highly disparate, and the total number of HAVV checks in Texas since 2011 far exceeds the number of registered voters currently accounted for statewide.

3)        A recent AT&T leak of over 70 million social security numbers presents ample opportunity for people to use online registration (or manual) and use loose numbers to create phantom registrations that could be verified through HAVV, producing subsequent registrations.

4)        Illegal aliens are not issued Social Security Numbers.  Non-citizens living here legally are supposed to meet various requirements for issuance; therefore, while illegals are allowed to get driver’s licenses in some states, they are not permitted to acquire them everywhere, such as Texas.  It is not logical to assume that Texas’s disparate HAVV data is reflective of illegal aliens being registered to vote, especially given California’s extremely low numbers this year.

5)        The issue, despite gray area in abundance, is cause for concern because the underlying crisis with our nation’s election system is voter registration corruption.  Joe Biden won Automatic Voter Registration (AVR) states in 2020 at a clip of 18 to 2, 243 electoral votes to 9.  Texas appears to have registration fraud present, with substantial disparity in net new registrations in the past two presidential cycles compared to previous cycles, in addition to noted registration and voter fraud in Harris and Tarrant Counties, for starters.

Author’s Note: This is something I consider essential knowledge, and is therefore open to all SubStack subscribers. If you’ve found this valuable, I would greatly appreciate your support as a paying member of this journal, which supports my mission nationally. Thank you.