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Paul Seth Calem's avatar

When Republicans lose registered voters in PA, it's because they left the state; not because they turned into liberals. When Democrats lose voters in PA, its because of "losing my religion" or else because they really weren't there to begin with (the fake identity created for the 2020 steal was found out and purged from the lists).

JACQUES LASSEIGNE's avatar

EXCELLENT work, Captain!

And with scandals such as what is being uncovered in Minnesota- that should also help.

Capt. Seth Keshel's avatar

Thanks Jacques! Merry Christmas… hope the good people of LA enjoy Lane Kiffin…

JACQUES LASSEIGNE's avatar

😂 Our son did graduate from LSU, but we have never been to a single LSU football game. My wife & I graduated from a university down the road in Lafayette.

College football coaches and their pay packages are out of control.

And may you & your Family have a Blessed & Joyous Christmas, sir.

penny brock's avatar

Washoe County Elections ROV Andrew McDonald did not scrub/clean voter rolls. Just "deactivated" voters. They can be reactivated for the next election. Unlike deletion, cleaning, or scrubbing voter rolls, "deactivation" is usually a temporary measure, meaning the entity can often be restored to an active state later.

Data Retention: Associated data and records are typically retained, not permanently removed, which allows for future reactivation. ROV McDonald is playing the word salad game using the word "deactivated". Not the same as "cleaning or scrubbing the voter rolls. He is from San Diego where he worked in the County IT Dept. for years. Made our ROV earlier this year. Does not have the background, experience or expertise to oversee Washoe Elections and works closely with Dominion EVS.

penny brock's avatar

"...What does it mean to be an active or inactive voter in Nevada? The latest Washoe County project involved moving voters from “active” to “inactive” status.

Both can still vote. The main difference between the two designations is that active voters automatically receive mail ballots and inactive voters don’t..." Source: https://www.rgj.com/story/news/politics/elections/2025/11/07/washoe-county-purges-32000-active-voters-praised-by-election-critic/87130473007

tim's avatar

Question....how many, if you have any way of knowing, of those new republican registrations are democrats switching only so they can vote for bad candidates in multiple candidate republican races? They've been known to do it before now.

Capt. Seth Keshel's avatar

That’s never how it turns out in the law of large numbers. Most people don’t think that way. And not over every county.

TVO's avatar

@TPUSA @SebGorka @ScottPresler @TurningPointUSA @RealDonaldTrump @GOP TrumpTeam Here are the Current Stats -- Please show Scott Presler and Thank You 🦅🇺🇲🦅🗽⚖️🎄⛄

Neural Foundry's avatar

Superb monthly tracking of partisan registration drift as a leading electoral indicator. Your observation that Florida's R+10.5% spread sits nearly three points rightward of its Nov 2024 position validates registration data's predictive edge over late-cycle polling noise. The Maricopa purge detail (140K removed registrations, net R+7.3% to R+7.5%) is tactically crucial - it quantifies how aggresive roll maintenance compresses fraud surface area without surrendering partisan advantage. What stands out to me is North Carolina tracking sub-2K Democrat edge, which if your year-end flip prediction lands will reshape 2026 Senate math in real tim.

Capt. Seth Keshel's avatar

I appreciate the positive feedback. I take a lot of pride in these models, as you may know.

Also very important that the DOJ do something to roll back automatic voter registration.

Hugo's avatar

Great work, Seth. It's going to be interesting how the Senate race in NC turns out in '26.

Mark Bradley's avatar

I appreciate your article, however I have to agree with Tim. Something isn’t right in NC. We are seeing these huge gains in Rs registering. However, it takes just a look at the recent local races in Wake, to see that even with a larger turnout for Mayor and Commissioner races by Rs, the Dems still took the seats. Add to that people that have approached wake GOP as recent registered Republicans, looking to run for office have been uncovered as having a history of being Dems. Multiple towns in the area are seeing this happen.