Regarding Pennsylvania, keep in mind that the Primary is May 19, and in Philadelphia for sure, and maybe a few other counties, it is almost impossible to elect Republicans for local government positions in a general election, so as the Primary approaches some people will register as Democrat in order to vote in the Democrat primary for their preferred candidate for city or county positions. Possibly this is affecting the registration numbers in Philadelphia.
We have the same thing happening in South Dakota, only in reverse. Democrats will change registration to Republican for the primary in June to vote for a RINO since it's impossible in many districts for a Democrat to be elected in the general election. After the primary, they switch registration back to Democrat.
I think a successful resolution to the war with Iran is key to GOP hopes in New Hampshire. For Nevada, we need to do more Federalization of the California oil infrastructure (refineries and pipelines) to help lower gas prices in Nevada. Most people don't realize how much of prisoner Nevada is to California's crazy energy policies, but it is. If we can provide relief at the pump in Nevada, that would help across all of the key demographics that Republicans need to win to do well in the State.
Spoiled subscriber request: please add to your reports a data series that shows the net advantage in registration - R - D - in numbers and what that figure is as a percentage of total registration. This would be a better historical record that a comparison of the two percentages.
Regarding Nevada, the Dems want the CD-2 House seat in Northern NV, since (R) Amodei not running again; and to regain the Governorship, as (R) Gov. Lombardo running for re-election. Our Washoe County Elections Dept. controlled by Dems. They are putting a non-polling location Ballot Drop Box at the homeless, unsafe, FENCED, show ID to enter, Cares Campus, in an unsafe area,which only had 23 voters from that area in 2024 election. There will not even be a dedicated camera on the Drop Box so can be monitored by anyone online 24/7. Great concern this will be used to "Stuff the Ballot Box". NV law (NRS 293.269921 (2025), 5. A ballot drop box must be: (a) Placed in an accessible and convenient location..." How can this be accessible and convenient (or safe) when fenced and show ID to enter? Why is Washoe GOP and State GOP not doing something, or the DOJ investigating? Washoe Voters are outraged and concerned, especially that all 5 County Commissioners (2 Dems and 3 Rs) approved this Drop Box location despite voters at Commission meeting asking it not be approved. There will be two other non-polling Ballot Drop Box locations. Thanks, Seth, for keeping an eye on NV, Clark County and Washoe County.
I love your no bones reality in ALL your reporting. And I DID notice your little mention of blue Oregon actually moving slowly towards Republicans. Maybe because of the Democrat insanity at ALL points here.
I’m an Oregonian as well, and it gets pretty lonely for Republicans around election time, but this year may be a little different. The Democrats have screwed the state up so badly, even the blue loonies are noticing, as they are in California. I don’t think there is a budget anywhere in the State that’s not under water, we have more homeless every year and the Dems just want to throw more money at it even as it’s obvious what they have been doing isn’t working. The Oregon Department of Transportation is in the same boat, the roads are falling apart, we can’t get a new I-5 bridge built despite spending buckets of money already and Kotex tried to pull a fast one by raising the gas tax without a vote of the people. School system same story, we rank near the bottom nationally. I can’t think of one State program that’s going well, they are all in the ditch. I won’t even go downtown at night, too dangerous and you don’t know what you might step in on the sidewalk. Maybe this is the year the voters decide it’s time to “smell the Roses” again.
Steve, thanks for your reply. I’m in Coos County on the south coast and even though we have more registered republicans than democrats here, there’s way too many Republicans in Name Only. Yet it’s like the left is SO looney and Trump is so great, it has brought so many regular people out of the woodwork to want to get involved, I think it overcomes them.
Am nervous as a long-tailed cat in a room full of rockers about our May 19th election, here in Georgia…I will be voting but am pissed that Asshat (ossoff) has got a metric shit ton of cabbage to spend on getting re-selected [sic] again.
Our Legislators in Georgia is/are riddled with RINOS and have done almost nothing to restore election integrity to our State in spite of several lawsuits ruling in our favor. And do not get me started on how kemp has hijacked the Republican Party, here in Georgia.
Regarding Pennsylvania, keep in mind that the Primary is May 19, and in Philadelphia for sure, and maybe a few other counties, it is almost impossible to elect Republicans for local government positions in a general election, so as the Primary approaches some people will register as Democrat in order to vote in the Democrat primary for their preferred candidate for city or county positions. Possibly this is affecting the registration numbers in Philadelphia.
Brilliant
We have the same thing happening in South Dakota, only in reverse. Democrats will change registration to Republican for the primary in June to vote for a RINO since it's impossible in many districts for a Democrat to be elected in the general election. After the primary, they switch registration back to Democrat.
I think a successful resolution to the war with Iran is key to GOP hopes in New Hampshire. For Nevada, we need to do more Federalization of the California oil infrastructure (refineries and pipelines) to help lower gas prices in Nevada. Most people don't realize how much of prisoner Nevada is to California's crazy energy policies, but it is. If we can provide relief at the pump in Nevada, that would help across all of the key demographics that Republicans need to win to do well in the State.
Well then you can kiss the election goodbye lol
There is no “successful resolution” that isn’t just Trump walking away.
And even then, gas prices would take more than six months to fall.
Spoiled subscriber request: please add to your reports a data series that shows the net advantage in registration - R - D - in numbers and what that figure is as a percentage of total registration. This would be a better historical record that a comparison of the two percentages.
Regarding Nevada, the Dems want the CD-2 House seat in Northern NV, since (R) Amodei not running again; and to regain the Governorship, as (R) Gov. Lombardo running for re-election. Our Washoe County Elections Dept. controlled by Dems. They are putting a non-polling location Ballot Drop Box at the homeless, unsafe, FENCED, show ID to enter, Cares Campus, in an unsafe area,which only had 23 voters from that area in 2024 election. There will not even be a dedicated camera on the Drop Box so can be monitored by anyone online 24/7. Great concern this will be used to "Stuff the Ballot Box". NV law (NRS 293.269921 (2025), 5. A ballot drop box must be: (a) Placed in an accessible and convenient location..." How can this be accessible and convenient (or safe) when fenced and show ID to enter? Why is Washoe GOP and State GOP not doing something, or the DOJ investigating? Washoe Voters are outraged and concerned, especially that all 5 County Commissioners (2 Dems and 3 Rs) approved this Drop Box location despite voters at Commission meeting asking it not be approved. There will be two other non-polling Ballot Drop Box locations. Thanks, Seth, for keeping an eye on NV, Clark County and Washoe County.
I love your no bones reality in ALL your reporting. And I DID notice your little mention of blue Oregon actually moving slowly towards Republicans. Maybe because of the Democrat insanity at ALL points here.
I’m an Oregonian as well, and it gets pretty lonely for Republicans around election time, but this year may be a little different. The Democrats have screwed the state up so badly, even the blue loonies are noticing, as they are in California. I don’t think there is a budget anywhere in the State that’s not under water, we have more homeless every year and the Dems just want to throw more money at it even as it’s obvious what they have been doing isn’t working. The Oregon Department of Transportation is in the same boat, the roads are falling apart, we can’t get a new I-5 bridge built despite spending buckets of money already and Kotex tried to pull a fast one by raising the gas tax without a vote of the people. School system same story, we rank near the bottom nationally. I can’t think of one State program that’s going well, they are all in the ditch. I won’t even go downtown at night, too dangerous and you don’t know what you might step in on the sidewalk. Maybe this is the year the voters decide it’s time to “smell the Roses” again.
Steve, thanks for your reply. I’m in Coos County on the south coast and even though we have more registered republicans than democrats here, there’s way too many Republicans in Name Only. Yet it’s like the left is SO looney and Trump is so great, it has brought so many regular people out of the woodwork to want to get involved, I think it overcomes them.
NH-2 IS winnable!
Go Lily Tang Williams, go.
Democrat is another CIA plant.
Problem is you’re only looking at registration data, while ignoring everything else.
Midterms will be an absolute slaughter. You already see Dems outperforming in places like Ohio.
Am nervous as a long-tailed cat in a room full of rockers about our May 19th election, here in Georgia…I will be voting but am pissed that Asshat (ossoff) has got a metric shit ton of cabbage to spend on getting re-selected [sic] again.
Our Legislators in Georgia is/are riddled with RINOS and have done almost nothing to restore election integrity to our State in spite of several lawsuits ruling in our favor. And do not get me started on how kemp has hijacked the Republican Party, here in Georgia.
‘Nuff said
Onward thru the Fog, as Oat Willie sez