The cocktail consultant class can laugh all they want, but I'm the one who got every race right last fall - not them. Ignore this assessment at your own peril.
I refer to him also as "my boss" 😉 - unpaid but veryyy appreciated by All .. I appreciate your long hours to bring us the "Numbers" -- solid Truths .. Excellent research and results -- @realdonaldtrump @trumpteam @danscavino
I don't think there's any point in looking at trends based on corrupt voting.
We all need to lobby our congress men and women to back a voter integrity bill. Photo ID, 99%+ in person voting, paper ballots, voter rolls cleaned regularly, strict rules to allow bipartisan poll watchers.
You have earned the respect of many of us with your detailed analysis and prediction accuracy. I would have bet that Trump would have been all over your advice, given his treatment by the corrupt 'campaigning' of the establishment. Either he doubts the possibility of election reform or he places it on a lower priority for other reasons.
I share in the reservations of many in democracy, both of our founders and our current thought leaders. Voters are too easily stampeded into mob decisions. Cattle and sheep are apt metaphors for people. There are (barely) unlike the unreadability of cats.
Having devoted a significant portion of his life to literally saving the greatest country in world history and being in the middle of just that, an inflection point in all of history, there is no way Our President is going to let it get pissed away in losing midterms. Clearly a process that you have recognized, Cap'n K!
Seth, I think you are on to something here. This mid-term election set could be unlike any in modern historical precedent. The continuing rightward trend in voter registrations, the deportation (whether self or ICE), and much heavier attention being paid to election theft suggests we have some hope in keeping or even increasing our House majority.
But it will take work and lots of it. There will be more Republican boots on the ground here in AZ than perhaps in any mid-term preceding, while some (but certainly not all) of the Dems NGO ballot-creating machinery is either foiled or at least under vigilance. The biggest problem I see as a GOP official over 6 precincts is post-victory apathy, but I believe we will fight our way out of that. NYC's primary election of a Marxist right out of 1917 may help, along with sewers like LA, Portland, Seattle, Boston, Chicago, and Denver showing the folks in the persuadable middle what the Democrat party has truly become.
On another topic, I have suggested (and Newt Gingrich has reinforced) that Chris Stigall get you onto his Salem News Channel program. That's a big audience with some big name guest interviews every week. I hope to see you on the program, even though it's 6-9 ET. (Sorry). Keep up the great stuff; I look forward to your Substack every day.
It is difficult to leave a comment which adds to this discussion because we now live in an environment where it is all government all the time. National, state, county, and city governments have all expanded consuming an ever growing proportion of our nation’s income. At the same time malign actors distract and divide the population with arguments about climate change, renewable energy based on products from China, and sexual ideology in classrooms filled with children far too young to understand it. Most voters don’t have the time to track all of this. There is no single reliable information source due to the demise of unbiased reporting. Most voters will pick one topic of interest to them and then make guesses for their vote.
Gary Peters DID NOT win his Michigan Senate seat in 2020.
It was stolen for him.
John James never should have conceded.
100% fact
You’ve paid a lot of dues, Seth. There’s a payday ahead.
I refer to him also as "my boss" 😉 - unpaid but veryyy appreciated by All .. I appreciate your long hours to bring us the "Numbers" -- solid Truths .. Excellent research and results -- @realdonaldtrump @trumpteam @danscavino
I don't think there's any point in looking at trends based on corrupt voting.
We all need to lobby our congress men and women to back a voter integrity bill. Photo ID, 99%+ in person voting, paper ballots, voter rolls cleaned regularly, strict rules to allow bipartisan poll watchers.
You have earned the respect of many of us with your detailed analysis and prediction accuracy. I would have bet that Trump would have been all over your advice, given his treatment by the corrupt 'campaigning' of the establishment. Either he doubts the possibility of election reform or he places it on a lower priority for other reasons.
I share in the reservations of many in democracy, both of our founders and our current thought leaders. Voters are too easily stampeded into mob decisions. Cattle and sheep are apt metaphors for people. There are (barely) unlike the unreadability of cats.
Having devoted a significant portion of his life to literally saving the greatest country in world history and being in the middle of just that, an inflection point in all of history, there is no way Our President is going to let it get pissed away in losing midterms. Clearly a process that you have recognized, Cap'n K!
Seth, I think you are on to something here. This mid-term election set could be unlike any in modern historical precedent. The continuing rightward trend in voter registrations, the deportation (whether self or ICE), and much heavier attention being paid to election theft suggests we have some hope in keeping or even increasing our House majority.
But it will take work and lots of it. There will be more Republican boots on the ground here in AZ than perhaps in any mid-term preceding, while some (but certainly not all) of the Dems NGO ballot-creating machinery is either foiled or at least under vigilance. The biggest problem I see as a GOP official over 6 precincts is post-victory apathy, but I believe we will fight our way out of that. NYC's primary election of a Marxist right out of 1917 may help, along with sewers like LA, Portland, Seattle, Boston, Chicago, and Denver showing the folks in the persuadable middle what the Democrat party has truly become.
On another topic, I have suggested (and Newt Gingrich has reinforced) that Chris Stigall get you onto his Salem News Channel program. That's a big audience with some big name guest interviews every week. I hope to see you on the program, even though it's 6-9 ET. (Sorry). Keep up the great stuff; I look forward to your Substack every day.
Thanks for this ...great work.
It is difficult to leave a comment which adds to this discussion because we now live in an environment where it is all government all the time. National, state, county, and city governments have all expanded consuming an ever growing proportion of our nation’s income. At the same time malign actors distract and divide the population with arguments about climate change, renewable energy based on products from China, and sexual ideology in classrooms filled with children far too young to understand it. Most voters don’t have the time to track all of this. There is no single reliable information source due to the demise of unbiased reporting. Most voters will pick one topic of interest to them and then make guesses for their vote.